Blood Bath in the NFL
It was a fucking blood bath at the sports book yesterday as the dogs went an unbelievable 11-3-1 against the spread with six of those dogs as outright winners. Also the home Dogs went 4-1 with three outright winners. Wow. Teasers got destroyed, money line parlays with heavy favorites down the tubes, if a player broke even this week it really was a job well done.
Two teams that really destroyed everyone was Cincy and New Orleans. Bettors played them heavy against the spread but where they really got killed is with teasers. Having Cincy -1 and New Orleans +2 looked like sure fired winners but any tickets with either team on there was a big loser. Indy and Denver were two more teams that players bet heavy on that got them crushed.
Really the only thing that saved a lot of players from going completely busto was Dallas smoking Miami. That at best kept most loses down from what could have been a catastrophe to a lot of players. Seriously, we could have seen a lot of Joe average bettors blowing through their rolls in only Week 2.
So the question going forward is was this a fluke and will we see the favorites come back and kill the dogs or is this just another year of the dog? The prediction from my last post was accurate as I said the dogs will be barking with so many big numbers and home dogs but I do see things cooling off somewhat next week as there are much smaller numbers across the board and only three home dogs on the card.
I will say this though, going forward on a card of sixteen games, I think it should be very rare that anybody makes a bet on a road favorite. They always look so good but what usually happens is you get beat. So start looking close at home dogs or else don't bet the game. Find yourself a better spot to get your money in.
Tonight I'm going to have a small play on the ForeSkins +7. I see this being a close game as neither team is all that good at this point in the season. Give McNabb another month though to get really healthy and I think we see Philly go on a nice run but for now I'm going to take the points.
Hope you still have some money left after yesterday and hopefully win or lose we all learned a lesson. That's right learn how to bet the dogs in the NFL.